Sabatos Crystal Ball

2020 Ratings Changes

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Electoral College ratings changes

Nov. 7, 2019

State Old Rating New Rating
Virginia Leans Democratic Likely Democratic

Sept. 19, 2019

State Old Rating New Rating
New Hampshire Toss-up Leans Democratic

Senate ratings changes

Oct. 3, 2019

Senator Old Rating New Rating
Doug Jones (D-AL) Toss-up Leans Republican
Thom Tillis (R-NC) Leans Republican Toss-up

Aug. 28, 2019

Senator Old Rating New Rating
GA Special (Isakson, R) Not rated Leans Republican

July 8, 2019

Senator Old Rating New Rating
KS Open (Roberts, R) Safe Republican Likely Republican

March 25, 2019

Senator Old Rating New Rating
NM Open (Udall, D) Safe Democratic Likely Democratic

Governor ratings changes

Nov. 14, 2019

Governor Old Rating New Rating
John Bel Edwards (D-LA) Toss-up Leans Democratic

Oct. 12, 2019

Governor Old Rating New Rating
John Bel Edwards (D-LA) Leans Democratic Toss-up

Aug. 22, 2019

Governor Old Rating New Rating
Jay Inslee (D-WA) Likely Democratic Safe Democratic

House ratings changes

Dec. 15, 2019
Change prompted by Van Drew party switch

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Jeff Van Drew (R, NJ-2) Leans Democratic Leans Republican

Dec. 3, 2019
Changes prompted by NC redistricting

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Ted Budd (R, NC-13) Likely Republican Safe Republican
George Holding (R, NC-2) Likely Republican Safe Democratic
Richard Hudson (R, NC-8) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Mark Walker (R, NC-6) Safe Republican Safe Democratic

Nov. 11, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
NY-2 Open (King, R) Likely Republican Leans Republican

Oct. 29, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Conor Lamb (D, PA-17) Safe Democratic Likely Democratic

Oct. 27, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
CA-25 Special (Hill, D) Likely Democratic Leans Democratic

Sept. 10, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Greg Murphy (R, NC-3) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Dan Bishop (R, NC-9) Toss-up Likely Republican

Sept. 5, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
NC-3 Special (Jones, R) Safe Republican Likely Republican
NC-9 Vacant/Special Leans Republican Toss-up

Sept. 2, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Collin Peterson (D, MN-7) Leans Democratic Toss-up

Aug. 26, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
WI-7 Special (Duffy, R) Safe Republican Likely Republican

Aug. 5, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
TX-24 Open (Marchant, R) Leans Republican Toss-up

Aug. 1, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
NC-9 Vacant/Special Toss-up Leans Republican
TX-23 Open (Hurd, R) Toss-up Leans Democratic

July 25, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
TX-22 Open (Olson, R) Leans Republican Toss-up

July 18, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
T.J. Cox (D, CA-21) Likely Democratic Leans Democratic

July 4, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Rep. Justin Amash (I, MI-3) Likely Republican Toss-up

June 14, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
IN-5 Open (Brooks, R) Safe Republican Leans Republican

April 12, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
IA-2 Open (Loebsack, D) Likely Democratic Toss-up
Tom Malinowski (D, NJ-7) Likely Democratic Leans Democratic