Sabatos Crystal Ball

Archive for the ‘2020 Governor’ Category

Notes on the State of Politics

Debate effects can fade; Trump may be running behind his approval; the NC-9 special; a Magnolia runoff?

, Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The polling effects from the first debate largely wore off by the time the second round started. — In 2016, President Trump won some voters who otherwise did not like him, but there are some signs he isn’t benefiting from such a dynamic at the moment. — The NC-9 […]

Yes, Virginia, This is Chaos

, Sabato's Crystal Ball

Editor’s Note: This is a special edition of the Crystal Ball. Given the fast-moving developments in our home state over the last several days, we hope it’s not obsolete by the time you read it! We’ll be back with our regularly-scheduled issue next week on Thursday. Saying that anything in the annals of American political […]

Governors 2019-2020: Democrats try to hold the line in red-state battles

, Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball

Editor’s Note: Last Thursday morning, the University of Virginia Center for Politics held its 20th annual American Democracy Conference in Washington, D.C. To watch a replay of the conference, visit our website. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Following the 2018 election, Republicans now control 27 governorships to the Democrats’ 23, but a majority of […]