Sabatos Crystal Ball

“It’s easy to see how Trump can win reelection”

Larry J. Sabato and Kyle Kondik, Sabato's Crystal Ball April 24th, 2019


Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato and Crystal Ball Managing Editor Kyle Kondik published an opinion piece in the Washington Post on Tuesday arguing that despite the unconventional nature of Donald Trump’s presidency, his path to reelection may end up being not so different from those of previous Republican presidents:

President Trump thrives on chaos, much of it his own creation. But it would be a mistake to assume that the reelection campaign of this most untraditional president will mirror the tumult of his 2016 effort. It’s too early to handicap 2020, but Trump may try to capitalize on some of the same factors that helped three modern Republican presidents, Richard M. Nixon, Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, win reelection.

To read the op-ed in the Washington Post, click here.