Sabatos Crystal Ball

Recount Blues in the Evergreen State?

Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics November 30th, 2004


As you know, we hate to boast, but the Crystal Ball was, to our knowledge, the only established, national political source to predict that Republican Dino Rossi would defeat Democrat Christine Gregoire in the Washington State governor’s race. (If we ar e wrong, let us know and we will correct this.) As all of our political aficionados know by now, Washington Secretary of State Sam Reed has just certified Rossi as the Governor-Elect, by a grand total of 42 votes out of 2.8 mi llion cast. Of course, it is not over until it is over, and the Democrats may ask for yet another recount by Friday, though that is a potentially costly route for them. It may well be that this unbelievably close result can be reversed in suc h a recount, which would eventually go statewide, should the first selective recount actually reverse the outcome.

Be that as it may, we thought that our fellow political junkies might like to know that this is the closest gubernatorial contest in modern times–but is not the record:

We hope there is NO violence in Washington this year and next, but along with all of you we await the final, final, final outcome of this freakishly close contest. Our best to you, our readers, for the holiday season.

-Larry Sabato and the Crystal Ball Staff